The bottom line
Subscription apps grow by acting on a few trusted, logic-driven numbers: find when users convert, retarget them in time, and track only three daily KPIs. Fewer, cleaner metrics turn data into daily actions instead of emotional guessing.
Key takeaways
- Most users who skip a second visit in the first week are lost within a month. 0:45
- Most users delete the app within 30 days if they haven't returned at least twice in the first seven days.
- The first step is to find when the revenue event happens, then work backwards from that moment.
- Retargeting spend should follow how users behave, within a limited budget. 1:30
- In the first 30 days, retarget users to open the app. After 30, 60 or 90 days, run campaigns to reinstall it.
- If a user brings about $15 in revenue, spending $100 to win them back makes no sense.
- Only three KPIs should be watched every day. 4:07
- The three are the campaign ranking score, revenue and spend, because together they show whether a change in spend moves revenue.
- Installs belong in a weekly review. Fridays run low and Sundays peak, so a daily install count triggers no action and only feeds emotion.
- Being data-driven means using the right source for each metric and acting on it. 5:37
- Mixing impressions from Facebook and Google with clicks from attribution tools gives a wrong score. Use clicks from the ad partner, because the sources always show discrepancies.
- Data that drives no action should be buried in the "graveyard" until it is needed.
- Trusted, automated reporting should replace manual spreadsheet work. 14:29
- Teams spend around 60% to 70% of their time on campaign creation and optimization, which can be automated fairly easily.
- Teams that export data to Excel because they don't trust the numbers risk a wrong vlookup spoiling every decision.
If you don't drive actions just keep it in your graveyard and one day you can call it and start using it but bury it for now and don't look at it, it just gonna mix you up.
Lior Barak
Chapter summaries
0:00 Working backwards from the conversion
Knowing when users convert lets a small team plan retargeting instead of guessing.
- Cohorts of installs show how long conversion takes, and the plan is built backwards from it. 0:06
- Group installs into cohorts and measure the days to subscribe.
- Then design drip campaigns to fit that window.
- The example is a seven-day conversion window on a client's app.
- A user with no visit after the install has a problem to diagnose, and a trigger to find.
- Retargeting that shows popular content brings users back in time. 2:55
- Peak, the brain training app, retargets heavily in the first seven days.
- Its ads feature the most popular games.
- The goal is a return visit inside the window where subscribing is most likely.
- Without the data, this decision is made blindly.
- A data team sits between engineers and marketers to automate campaign work. 2:22
- It runs the automation but does not run campaigns.
- Engineers build the databases and automation.
- Marketers keep launching campaigns so the machines can learn and readjust.
3:40 Squeezing big accounts into one number
The more a client spends, the more their data must be compressed into a few usable signals.
- A campaign ranking model compresses many session events into a single score. 4:19
- A data scientist builds a model that rates each campaign's chance of success against the others.
- Tons of data points become one number, such as 8.7.
- The idea is an index that signals the worth of a session and of the user just brought in.
- The same indexing was covered in an earlier interview.
5:21 What data-driven really means
Data-driven means knowing your sources and picking the few measures that trigger action.
- Each source has a purpose, so one clean number beats a blend. 5:37
- Clicks come from Facebook, Google, Adjust and AppsFlyer, and they never match.
- Understand why they differ and which one to use.
- Mixing impressions from one source with clicks from another is the common mistake.
- The final test is the action each number drives.
- The three-KPI cap applies to everyone, but the choice of KPIs depends on the client. 7:05
- More than three KPIs make decisions impossible.
- Most clients want installs on the list.
- Daily install moves point to no action, so weekly is enough.
- Sunday installs rise because people are home, bored and searching for apps.
8:08 Daily numbers must lead to action
A daily metric earns its place only when it triggers a clear action and rests on logic, not emotion.
- Spend and revenue read together tell you what to fix 8:43
- If spend falls and revenue falls with it, something in the setup is wrong.
- If cost jumps while revenue stays flat or declines, that is a clear warning.
- The three KPIs can change over time, but the habit stays: watch how revenue responds to spend.
- Installs fit a weekly check, for example 50,000 installs in a week as a sign of a good job.
- Logic-based metrics keep emotion out of daily decisions 9:58
- Watching installs is an emotional feed, not a logical one.
- Revenue, clicks or ads viewed carry a rule behind them.
- A rule such as 15 to 25 ads viewed per user per day is needed to turn a profit.
- Organic users spend no money, so a cost-per-install number says little for them.
10:41 A funnel that forces fewer measures
A three-stage workshop and three dashboards shrink a pile of data into a few decisions.
- The data discovery workshop narrows information in three steps 10:58
- The tool collects data from the different partners.
- Teams first ask any question, then mark which measures are a must and which are nice to have.
- Measures are capped, so a team with 50 or 60 must choose with care.
- The chosen measures decide how the tables are built.
- Three dashboards match three rhythms of decision 12:10
- The daily one is action-driven: which campaign to kill, which to improve.
- The weekly one adds research. The monthly one is a deep dive for teams.
- Budgets are usually fixed for the year, so big changes come about once a month.
- Example: a monthly review shows more money should have gone to Facebook because Snapchat soaked up spend.
13:19 Trust the numbers and automate
Teams should lean on automated tools or their data engineer, so decisions come from numbers they trust.
- Distrust sends people to Excel even with good reporting tools 14:32
- Clients with Looker or Power BI still download data and rework it.
- Excel wastes time and adds errors.
- The fix is a data dump built the right way, so nobody has to dig through it.
- Who builds the reporting depends on whether a data engineer is on the team 15:33
- Without an engineer, find a tool that automates the work.
- With one, put them to work turning the data into something usable.
- The point is to make data that people can actually use.
In the growth library
Lior Barak, Data consultant, Tale About Data. Teaches which data to watch to grow app subscriptions: find when users convert, retarget inside that window, and limit daily KPIs to three that drive action. The payoff is a simple system of daily, weekly and monthly views that replaces blind spending and spreadsheet work.
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